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Centennial Sounding Board |
1 Department of Radiology, University of Alabama at Birmingham, 619 19th St. South, N342JT, Birmingham, AL 35249-6830
Received November 1, 1999;
accepted after revision November 8, 1999.
Address correspondence to R. J. Stanley.
Introduction
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Our EMI 5000 whole-body CT scanner (the Emerald unit; EMI, Hayes, UK) has just been installed and the first eight slices (18-sec scan time per 10-mm-thick slice at 2-cm intervals) of the upper abdomen of a living patient have been completed. The data will have to be processed overnight, so Dr. Stuart Sagel and I put our gratification on hold until tomorrow morning. The rest of the afternoon is spent evaluating the shape and size of the patient cradle, which looks more suited to hold a 10-inch (25-cm) in diameter cylinder than an adult man or woman. Later that week, the patient cradle was temporarily replaced with a contoured wooden tabletop from an old angiography unit.
Scene II: October 1976, Mallinckrodt Institute of Radiology
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When reflecting back on that afternoon, it is apparent that Dave was 15 years ahead of his time, and we were unable to recognize our own shortsightedness. Soon thereafter, we advanced to more automated filming of our studies.
Scene III: October 1999, University of Alabama at Birmingham
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As we are about to enter the 21st century, the improvements and expanded applications of sonography, MR imaging, and CT appear unlimited. MR angiography and CT angiography are already in growing clinical use. The role of MR cholangiography and pancreatography is quickly spreading. Virtual reality applications in the gastrointestinal and respiratory tracts are extremely promising. Older, more invasive, or less precise diagnostic methods will fall into disuse, to the benefit of our patients.
What will diagnostic imaging be like 25 years from now? I am not enough of a futurist and definitely not creative enough to predict. However, I do see a small problem on the horizon. As we accurately image and inspect the human body with thinner and more detailed sections, we approach the 1-2 mm serial sections of the pathologist, who can find evidence of "disease" in almost every organ and everyone. The radiologists of the future will need to understand the implications of their findings and know the natural history of each disease detected. Unqualified diagnostic reports, where statistical (lead time and length) biases are not accounted for, will result in more, not less, unnecessary medical therapy, while simultaneously suggesting therapeutic triumphs. Thus, the challenge of 21st century diagnostic imaging is a daunting one: the incredible technologic achievements must be integrated more closely than ever with knowledge of the complex human organism.
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